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Federal financing cuts; attacks on equity, immigrants, the guideline of law, and the nation's democracy; a brand-new tax costs; and the growing use of synthetic intelligence are simply a few of the aspects that have upended the not-for-profit world. In the middle of this turmoil, how can funders and their beneficiaries prepare for 2026 and beyond? In this unique bundle, you'll speak with foundation leaders and significant donors about providing patterns in the coming year and efforts to react to Trump administration hazards.
You'll find bold predictions from leaders and thinkers throughout the sector about what lies ahead, including what the sector will appear like five years from now, and how to react to what guarantees to be another unmatched year. It's time to shed our worry and acknowledge that those who desire modification will fail if the individuals closest to the cash lack the courage to bear the most run the risk of.
Kathleen Enright, president & CEO, Council on Foundations The humanitarian sector should be clear-eyed about the challenges ahead: the pattern of targeted attacks and government overreach developed to stifle our most essential freedoms. John Palfrey, president, MacArthur Foundation Nonprofits are addicted to the hamster wheel of fundraising, and in 2026, AI may supersize both the wheel and the addiction.
Michael McAfee, CEO, PolicyLink It's challenging to picture passage anytime soon of legislation needing higher payout rates. Bella DeVaan and Chuck Collins collaborate the Charity Reform Initiative, Institute for Policy Researches Interaction is no longer background sound. It's a battlefield. Matt Watkins, CEO, Watkins Public Affairs Funders will assemble around pluralism, not because it's simple but since it's necessary.
Dimple Abichandani, author of A New Period of Philanthropy. Lighthouse illustration by Greg Mably for The Chronicle of Philanthropy.
Findings from Church Mutual can assist direct nonprofits as they browse 2026 and modifications in generational providing. In December of 2025, the "2026 Charitable Providing in America" study was performed by Church Mutual, taking responses from 1,010 adults who contribute financially to nonprofits and other charitable causes. According to a short article on the research study from NonProfitPro, Church Mutual shows several crucial trends within the not-for-profit fundraising world, consisting of the alarming reality that donors are planning to downsize their giving up 2026.
With that, here are 5 key takeaways from the Church Mutual 2026 study: The Church Mutual survey found holy places continue to take in the lion's share of contributions. All four generations represented (Gen Z, millennials, Gen X, and Baby Boomers) contributed mostly to places of praise, constituting 74% of charitable donations.
Organizations that have religious ties should highlight this connection to donors, especially if they actively support houses of worship or schools. Another essential finding from the survey was that donors tended to make their contributions toward completion of the year (OctoberDecember). Throughout the four generations, end-of-year contributions comprised the highest percentage, with JanuaryMarch taking second location, followed by AprilJune, then JulySeptember.
In addition, out of the 4 generations, Gen Z was most likely to offer throughout the slowest time of the year (JulySeptember). Those who operate in the not-for-profit space must bear in mind of the end-of-year increase in donations, which indicates that OctoberDecember campaigns such as Offering Tuesday events, matches, etc, could bring in a fundraising windfall.
That said, "slow-down" durations need to not be neglected, as the more youthful generations may still be inclined to offer even when the older ones are not. The survey contains an area that details "contribution expectations" for 2026, and it is these findings that might sound alarm bells. On the one hand, around half of donors (48%) stated they will not make any modifications to their financial contributions, with Boomers being the group more than likely to leave their charitable giving the same.
Millennials were recognized as the group probably to cut their offering, whereas Gen Z was not only identified as the group least most likely to cut their giving, however also the group probably to increase their providing in 2026. Church Mutual has a couple of sections committed to the main financial concerns of donors, something that falls beyond the scope of this short article.
One finding that nonprofits need to also be mindful of is that a majority of donors have concerns about the monetary health of the groups they support. Church Mutual discovered that 54% of donors are stressed over the monetary health of the receivers of their contributions. By generation, Gen Z was the most worried, followed by millennials and Gen X respectively, while Boomers were the least worried.
They ought to be prepared to resolve more youthful donors' concerns and be proactive in resolving any concerns affecting the organization internally. Doing so might make a distinction in winning over more youthful donors throughout financially unsure times. While lower monetary contributions may be uneasy for nonprofits, there may be some excellent news.
When asked if they would increase "effort and time" to help in other methods ought to they decrease their financial contributions, a bulk of donors showed they would; 26% said they were "likely" and 32% stated "rather likely," equating to 58% of donors in general. The research study suggests these responses might imply "strong potential to transform reduced monetary giving into more volunteering, advocacy, or other non-financial support." In the face of smaller sized financial contributions, nonprofits need to lean into other channels to engage their donors.
Building More Effective Community Outreach InitiativesThere are other findings from Church Mutual that were not covered in this post, such as donation techniques and the leading financial priorities of donors, therefore I motivate all those in the not-for-profit area to go through the report. The findings from Church Mutual can help guide nonprofits as they browse 2026, specifically as Gen Z starts to handle a more prominent role in the offering world.
Sign up for the Johnson Center's email newsletter! This year marks a turning point for the Johnson Center: the tenth edition of our 11 Patterns in Philanthropy report. What began in 2017 as a modest supplement to our yearly report has grown into a commonly read and discussed publication, reaching more than 100,000 readers each year.
Typically, these posts explore brand-new shifts or developing motions throughout the field of philanthropy. For this tenth edition, however, we have actually taken a different approach. Rather than identifying a completely new set of emerging trends, we have actually turned our attention backward to review the styles that have actually formed our sector over the past 10 years, and to name both withstanding shifts and new developments.
It is likewise an acknowledgment of the minute we discover ourselves in a minute of active disturbance, that integrates both fantastic stress and anxiety about where we are headed and excellent possibility for what might come next. Our future feels more uncertain than ever, however the chance to create and scale life-changing innovations for our communities feels present.
As executive orders, legal contests, and legal debates play out, we do not have a clear photo of how much federal funding has been rescinded or withheld from nonprofits and neighborhoods. We do not understand how many nonprofits have closed or will close their doors, how many staff have actually lost their tasks, or how numerous communities have actually lost access to vital services.
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